Sunday, 31 August 2025

South London Property Insights: August 2025

South London Property Insights: August 2025

The latest e.surv House Price Index reveals crucial trends for South London. Here are key takeaways:

  • Base rate cut to 4%: This two-year low hints at potential further cuts, impacting mortgage affordability.
  • Stamp duty changes: Effective from April, these shifts are reshaping demand and supply dynamics.
  • Cautious optimism for first-time buyers: Relief is in sight, but lenders remain stringent.
  • Average price drop: Currently at £353,300, with a -0.6% monthly decline and -2.2% yearly.
  • Supply increase: Prices are softening, but sales activity is slowly improving, hinting at a potential recovery in H2.

For buyers, stress-test your finances and bid below asking prices. Sellers should price competitively and prioritize chain-free offers. Landlords must focus on strong rental micro-markets and manage costs effectively.

What strategies are you considering in this shifting market?

#SouthLondonProperty #MarketTrends #RealEstate

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If you are looking for help with your property in London – Sales, Rentals, Investments.
Reach out: 07837 093554 or email me at jeroen@claphampropertyblog.com

South London rents: cooling growth, rising pressure — what's your next move?

**South London rents: cooling growth, rising pressure — what's your next move?** Rent inflation has cooled to 2.7%. Relief? Not so fast — affordability is still biting, and that shapes pricing power, yields and exit strategies. Here's what jumped out of the latest ONS/Zoopla/Property118 round‑up — and why it matters on our side of the river: 1) Zoopla says rent inflation is 2.7%, the lowest since July 2021. Why it matters: In South London, you can't bank on big year‑on‑year uplifts to cover higher borrowing costs. Landlords in Lambeth, Wandsworth, Croydon and Lewisham need to prioritise retention, not headline rents. Price for low voids and quality tenants. 2) ONS uses 30% of income as the affordability yardstick across 2016–2024. Why it matters: Many tenants here are already near that line. Push beyond it and you risk arrears or longer voids — especially for one‑beds and studios in Zone 2/3. Family lets with space and decent EPCs still clear, but the ceiling is firmer. 3) Richard Don

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If you are looking for help with your property in London – Sales, Rentals, Investments.
Reach out: 07837 093554 or email me at jeroen@claphampropertyblog.com

Thursday, 28 August 2025

London Flats: A Decade of Stagnation and What Comes Next

 

Buying a flat in London used to be a no-brainer. For decades, you couldn’t lose — prices only went one way. But since 2016, that story has changed.

Here’s what I see every day on valuations: 9 out of 10 flats I appraise today are worth the same, or even less, than they were 10 years ago. Houses, meanwhile, have kept climbing.

Why? One word: leasehold.

Service charges and ground rents have spiralled. I’ve seen it first-hand. A £400,000 flat I valued had a £4,000 annual service charge (heating and hot water included). The next year it jumped to £6,000. The year after? £8,000. That’s 2% of the flat’s entire value every year — gone.

Now the flat is almost unsellable. Lenders won’t touch it. Buyers walk away. The owner? Trapped.

And this isn’t a one-off. Across London, freeholders are hiking service charges — often in anticipation of reforms that will strip away their “marriage value.” Add inflation, and it’s a perfect storm for leaseholders.

For first-time buyers, the question is obvious: is this really a smart move?
For homeowners, another tough truth: if you’ve outgrown your flat and want to move up the ladder, you may find you can’t sell at a profit — or at all. Renting it out often doesn’t cover the costs either. Many of my clients conclude they’d have been financially better off renting.


Of course, it’s not all doom and gloom. Investors focused purely on yield may still find opportunities, but service charge inflation must be part of the maths. And for buyers, long-term ownership still brings stability that renting can’t.

The government’s Leasehold Reform Act is a cautious reason for optimism. Scrapping marriage value, ending new leasehold houses, streamlining extensions — all good steps. But let’s be realistic: reform won’t fix the flats already on the market, and it won’t erase a decade of stagnation overnight.

So, the bigger questions are:

  • Will reform really change the game, or just paper over the cracks?

  • How sustainable are today’s service charges?

  • If freeholders are already pushing costs higher, what happens next?

  • Are leasehold flats quietly becoming London’s negative-equity trap?

  • Would you actually be better off renting until the dust settles?

If you’re weighing up your options — whether that’s selling, buying, or just figuring out your next move — let’s talk.

#LondonProperty #Leasehold #FirstTimeBuyer #SouthLondonProperty

Friday, 15 August 2025

The Housing Market in 2025: A Game of Two Halves… and a Tale of Two Londons

 


If you told me in January that by summer I’d be fighting to get viewings on well-presented, well-priced flats… I’d have laughed you out of the room.

But here we are.

The first half of this year and the second have been two entirely different worlds — and if you’re a seller right now, you need to hear this.


Q1: The Golden Quarter

Coming back from the Christmas break, the market was electric.
I launched six properties on Boxing Day. By mid-January, five had sales memorandums in place. Solicitors were instructed, deals were moving, and most completed before the stamp duty deadline.

Homes didn’t just sell. They flew.
Buyers were motivated, serious, and ready to transact. Even ex-rental flats from landlords looking to exit the buy-to-let game moved quickly — a quick clean, good presentation, and they were gone.

It felt like the market had momentum. And then…


Q2: The Brakes Slam On

By February, you could feel it. The energy had shifted.
Stamp duty changes were looming, and first-time buyers — the heartbeat of the housing chain — stepped away.

I kept listing properties, pricing them to sell, presenting them beautifully… and nothing happened.
Not tired, unmodernised flats — I’m talking about high-quality, move-in-ready homes. Still, the buyers didn’t come.

March? Quiet.
April? Worse.
By June, Rightmove reported a 41% drop in first-time buyer demand.

When first-time buyers disappear, the entire chain suffers:

  • Second-time buyers can’t move without them.

  • Chains collapse before they start.

  • Properties sit on the market, gathering digital dust.

The only homes that still move? The unicorns — perfect location, perfect presentation, perfect price. Everything else? Stuck.


Prime London: A Different Kind of Stuck

And it’s not just South London feeling it.
I network a lot in Chelsea, and the mood there is flat — and I don’t mean apartment flat.

When you’ve got a £5M, £8M house, you go with the big boys — Savills, Knight Frank, Strutt & Parker. But even they are struggling. Viewings are scarce. Offers are rarer still.

Here’s the thing: if you ask someone to take 10% off £5M, that’s half a million pounds. They’re not desperate to sell, so they won’t. They’ll sit tight until the market comes back.

And that’s why Land Registry will show average prices “falling” — because the only sales happening are at the lower end.
The £10M penthouses? They’re not selling at £7M. They’re not selling at all.

Flats are getting cheaper because they have to move. Houses are “holding value” — but only because they’re not transacting.


The Wealth Drain

Meanwhile, rich overseas owners are packing up.
Dubai. Cyprus. Anywhere but the UK.

Why? Because the UK has turned into a hunting ground for the wealthy. Tax after tax, regulation after regulation — the political message is clear: you’re a target.

And here’s the uncomfortable truth: if Prime Central London isn’t attracting wealth, investment, and confidence, the knock-on effect ripples across the whole housing market.

If the top end isn’t moving, where does the money flow from?
Will the magic printing press start whirring again? Or will we have to face the music?


What Sellers Need to Know Now

Whether you’re in Streatham or Sloane Square, the same core truth applies: the game has changed.

If you’re selling now:

  1. Be realistic on price — this is not the market for wishful thinking.

  2. Fix flaws before listing — buyers have options, and they’re picky.

  3. Understand timing — your property might take months, not weeks, to find the right buyer.


Your Move

This isn’t doom and gloom for the sake of it. It’s reality.
Markets recover — but the winners are the ones who adapt early.

So if you’ve been trying to sell, or you’re thinking about it, ask yourself: is your home a unicorn in today’s market? Or does it need a strategy shift to stand out?

I’d love to hear from you — whether you’re selling in South London, Chelsea, or anywhere in between.
What are you seeing out there? Is it the same story for you?

Let’s talk in the comments.

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